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Severe Weather Potential Update

Good afternoon, Cardinal Country! Here is the latest update on the severe weather potential for later this evening. Storm Prediction Center is still maintaining a slight risk for severe weather for central Indiana, including Muncie. Here is the break down of the specific threats associated with the potential severe storms:

A 5% chance of seeing a tornado within a 25 mile given radius for Muncie. While it may not be as a significant threat for Muncie as it is over in parts of southeastern Oklahoma and Arkansas, a 5% risk is just as significant as it is.

A 15% chance of seeing damaging straight-line winds in excess of 60 mph or greater. While it may not be as serious as tornadoes, wind damage with winds greater than 60 mph can do just as much damage as a weak tornado.

The large hail risk is the biggest concern regarding the severe storms for the Muncie area. Notice that Muncie is included in the hatched area for large hail. This means there is probability within the 15% chance zone for seeing significant large hail, greater than two-inches in diameter. Hail that size are a serious threat to heavy damage to cars, windows, and even sidings of homes.

To recap, severe weather is a possibility for Muncie later this evening with all modes of severe weather in play. Timing of the severe storm potential is between 6pm and 2am Friday morning. While it is currently dry right now, please review your severe weather safety plan. Once warnings are issued, you may not have a lot of time to seek shelter should severe storms arrive.

Currently, a tornado watch has been issued to our counties off to the west for parts of central Illinois, central Missouri, and northwestern Arkansas. It is possible that as we progress into the afternoon and early evening hours that Muncie and Indianapolis could be put under a tornado watch later on. Stay weather aware, Cardinals!

Severe weather update by Forecaster Natalie Taylor

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