A very active pattern will be in place for the next 5 days with the chance of strong to severe storms over the weekend. Another round of rain should move in on Tuesday before a cold front moves through with temperatures cooling down by Wednesday. Temperatures for much of the 5-Day Period will run slightly above normal.
Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected for most of the day Saturday. A surface low located just north and west of the region putting us in the zone for the potential for strong to severe storms. Instability for severe weather should be present for most of the day and a line of strong to severe storms are expected to form and move it’s way to the Muncie region overnight. The thunderstorms are expected to die a little bit as the approximate arrival time of the storms will be around midnight Saturday/Sunday. The storms will lose some of its energy and there is a chance that the severe weather threat will not make it all the way to eastern Indiana. Locally heavy rainfall, cloud to ground lightning, and damaging winds should be the main threat if any severe weather does occur. The rest of the day on Saturday should be partly to mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Highs in the mid 70’s, morning low in the lower 50’s.
Sunday: The first day of May! The morning on Sunday will be affected with the strong to severe thunderstorm line that is moving through. The chances of thunderstorms and rain will decrease by sunrise Sunday morning. An isolated thunderstorm in the afternoon cannot be ruled out. The day will be cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly sunny. Highs in the low 70’s, morning lows in the upper 50’s.
Monday: The morning will be noticeably cooler as a drier, slightly cooler air mass sets in on the day on Monday. Monday will be a beautiful day under sunny to mostly sunny skies, morning lows in the upper 40’s, highs in the low 70’s.
Tuesday: A fast moving surface low will be tracking over The Great Lakes region with an approaching warm front moving in Tuesday morning with consistent rain with pockets of heavy rain at times. Temperatures will warm up despite what is expected to be a overcast day. Then a cold front is expected to swing through during the evening hours on Tuesday. This might be one of those days where it’s an all day rain; a washout. Daily rainfall totals could exceed 1 inch on Tuesday so localized flooding could be a concern on Tuesday. The day will be cloudy regardless. It also has the chance to be quite a humid day with dew point values currently forecasted to be in the mid 60’s. Highs in the mid to upper 70’s, lows in the mid 50’s on the back end of the cold front.
Wednesday: Center of high pressure is located right over Lake Michigan near Chicago. The day on Wednesday should be mostly dry and noticeably cooler. The day will be mostly cloudy to cloudy with a chance of light rain to fall on the backside of the cold front and for isolated sprinkles to fall on the day Wednesday. Highs in the low to mid 60’s. Morning lows in the mid 40’s.
-CWS Forecaster: Ben Waggoner-