An upper-level ridge will keep the weekend very warm and dry. A pattern flip is expected with a cold front bringing chances of rain and thunderstorms on Monday with temperatures dropping to well below normal for the first half of the work week. A freeze is possible on Tuesday and Wednesday morning of next week.
Saturday: Upper ridge located over the Appalachians, steering the jet stream and active weather way north into Canada, the day down in Muncie will be nearly perfect! Sunny, light to moderate southwest wind, highs in the low to mid 80’s, almost too hot some, this will definitely be our warmest of 2022 so far. Morning lows in the upper 50’s.
Sunday: High pressure is getting nudged out of the region, a surface low over Minnesota with a cold front could bring some rain chances late Sunday. Most of the day on Sunday will be sunny, dry, potentially windy at times with a strong southwest wind. Highs in the low 80’s, morning lows in the low 60’s.
Monday: Here comes the cold front….. Widespread rain expected for the morning hours of the day on Monday with some thunder likely as well. The center of the surface low is located over central Ontario, this is way too far north for severe weather and is highly unlikely at this time. Monday will be a day of falling temperatures, we will likely hit our forecasted high of 70°F at 12:01 am we will spend most of the daytime hours in the 50’s with a nighttime low in the mid 40’s.
Tuesday: The low pressure system is on by, a cool polar high is expected to nudge its way down. It will be a much cooler day, highs only in the low 50’s. Lows around the freezing mark, we will have to keep an eye on wind speeds Tuesday morning, the current forecast is for morning winds to be around 10 mph but if the winds lighten in future model runs we might have to be concerned for some widespread frost or a freeze in the pre-dawn and sunrise hours on Tuesday, make sure that you have a plan to make sure that sensitive vegetation is taken care of because with the expected warm weather this weekend a lot of frost sensitive plants have been planted that could be killed by the expected frost.
Wednesday: Polar ridge still affecting our weather, the day will be sunny and unseasonably cold highs around 50°F, some rural areas north of Muncie may not even get out of the 40’s on Wednesday for a high. Temperatures running around 15°F below average for this time of year. Lows in the low 30’s with widespread frost or freeze expected Wednesday morning with winds being nearly calm on Wednesday morning with clear skies in the morning, if any sensitive plants survived Tuesday morning, there’s a high likelihood that they will not survive Wednesday morning.
-CWS Forecaster: Ben Waggoner-