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“Normal” Weather Day Today. The Calm Before The Storm?

Good evening everyone out there! In the weather department today, you almost couldn’t ask for a much more normal day than today! As of 2pm here in Muncie it was 34°F under sunny skies. Why is today so normal you ask? Well the climate average for the 31st of January for high temperature today is 37°F, which with the increased sun today led to a forecast adjustment to 37°F. Right at where we should be for this time of year. Very quiet dry day today with most of the late morning and afternoon hours above freezing is melting most of the snow and ice that is left on the ground from the clipper systems last week. Winds from the southeast will moderate temperatures from quickly falling off in the evening hours, only down to the upper 20’s. In fact, we should see temperatures stay steady or rise overnight as the southerly winds will increase and driving in moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. The moist air mass that will be setting in place overnight will bring a significant increase in clouds overnight to a mostly cloudy sky by around midnight. The low tonight is 27°F which is about 5 degrees above average for lows this time of year. Winds should stay steady for much of the daytime around 5-10 mph with a slight increase to around 10 mph after midnight.

However, the weather after today is to put it lightly anything but normal. The National Weather Service this morning has issued a Winter Storm Watch for Delaware and adjacent counties starting Wednesday evening. A Winter Storm Watch means that there is a possibility for a significant winter storm in the form of snow, freezing rain, and or sleet starting in the next 3 days. Rarely do the National Weather Service issues Winter Storm Watches, especially when closer to the 3 day maximum time on their 72-24 hour criteria. There is still high uncertainty on the exact amounts at this time but confidence is very high that the magnitude of the winter storm will be large. We’ll find out what the National Weather Service will do when the 24 hour window comes to issue a warning, whether it be Winter Storm, Ice Storm, or Blizzard. We should expect the National Weather Service to make the decision Tomorrow night at the earliest.

-CWS Forecaster: Ben Waggoner-