It is the end of the first week back at Ball State and with it is another refreshing and comfortable morning. An upper-level disturbance is moving across the northern Plains towards Minnesota/Upper Peninsula of Michigan. Accompanying the upper-level wave is rain spanning from Missouri up to Wisconsin. The rest of the country will remain warm and dry as ridging at 500 mb begins to build over the Southeast. Both features will shift the pattern from a westerly to a southerly flow. This will allow moisture will increase tapping into the moisture-rich air provided by the Gulf of Mexico. Friday night and Saturday will see increasing chances of rain because of this with temperatures warming throughout the weekend.
Temperatures are in the mid-60s with low humidity and a light south wind. Temps will warm into the mid-70s as the sunny skies begin to cloud up during the afternoon as an impulse from the upper level disturbance moves in from the west. Precipitation chances through this afternoon remain low/20% and will increase towards 60% this evening into the overnight hours. Best chance of thunderstorms appears to be tomorrow as instability increases. Day 2 outlook from the SPC has a marginal risk to the north of Muncie suggesting a very limited threat in our forecast area.