Happy first day of Meteorological Spring to everyone out there! It will most certainly feel like it for much of the 5 day period. Quiet, dry weather is expected for for Wednesday through Friday. A pair of systems could give us the potential for rain and our first chance at Thunderstorms this weekend. We will see our warmest day of the year so far on Sunday with highs in the 70’s expected.
Wednesday: The day will be sunny and warm for the daytime. Warm again with a southwest breeze up to 15 mph present. The day time high will be in the upper 50’s to around 60. For the overnight hours a polar high is expected to nudge it’s way down from the Dakotas, creating a weak surface boundary that could squeeze out a isolated shower, the odds of that are not likely, overnight lows will be around 30.
Thursday: It will be a much colder day, as the boundary is on by, the winds will be shifting to the northwest, the day will be mostly cloudy to cloudy. Highs will only be in the upper 30’s, lows in the upper 20’s to around 30.
Friday: Another dry day, the winds will shift back to a southerly to southeasterly direction. Partly sunny, highs in the upper 40’s, lows in the low 30’s.
Saturday: Most of the day will be dry under mostly cloudy skies, it could be a rather breezy Saturday with the potential for a tight pressure gradient expected. Very warm for this time of year! Highs in the mid to upper 60’s! In fact, it would not surprise me if areas just south of Muncie could hit 70°F on Saturday. However, with unseasonably warm weather comes the chance for thunderstorms. A strong 990 mb surface low is currently forecasted to move from Nebraska to Wisconsin on Saturday with a cold front that will swing down to the Muncie area. The front is currently forecasted to move through late Saturday night, early Sunday morning. There is the chance that some of these storms could be strong to severe, but it’s just too early to call if they will be, that’s just an idea.
Sunday: The system that brought us thunderstorms will be on by, but in comes another system right on the heels of it. Not as strong as the one forecasted for Saturday but it will produce a decent amount of rain for much of the day on Sunday. Highs in the lower 70’s! We’ll be pushing 20°F above average for the early March. The active pattern will keep the temperatures overnight quite warm, lows in the upper 50’s. With dewpoints forecasted to be in the 50’s for the weekend, the lows will not drop off very much overnight this weekend.
-CWS Forecaster: Ben Waggoner-